Powder Reliability Leaderboard
Historical powder reliability ranked across all resorts
| Rank | Resort | Overall | Powder Days | Base | Snow Quality | Conditions | Bad-year days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akakura Kanko Resort | 79 | 73 | 95 | 76 | 52 | 12.2 |
| 2 | Seki Onsen Ski Resort | 79 | 71 | 100 | 75 | 53 | 12.2 |
| 3 | GALA Yuzawa | 72 | 86 | 87 | 35 | 32 | 14.2 |
| 4 | Akakura Onsen Ski Resort | 71 | 66 | 94 | 54 | 60 | 11.2 |
| 5 | Niseko United | 71 | 42 | 100 | 93 | 68 | 7 |
| 6 | Myoko Suginohara Ski Resort | 70 | 71 | 67 | 83 | 27 | 12.2 |
| 7 | Nozawa Onsen Snow Resort | 69 | 70 | 92 | 46 | 30 | 12.2 |
| 8 | Ryuoo Ski Park | 69 | 63 | 87 | 69 | 26 | 9.4 |
| 9 | Hakuba Happo-One Snow Resort | 69 | 46 | 100 | 75 | 77 | 7 |
| 10 | Kiroro Snow World | 69 | 40 | 100 | 92 | 57 | 6.2 |
| 11 | Ikenotaira Onsen Alpen Blick | 68 | 62 | 83 | 69 | 36 | 9.4 |
| 12 | Sapporo Kokusai Ski Resort | 68 | 35 | 100 | 96 | 60 | 5.2 |
| 13 | Tsugaike Mountain Resort | 67 | 45 | 100 | 67 | 75 | 7 |
| 14 | Naeba Ski Resort | 65 | 59 | 67 | 86 | 18 | 8.6 |
| 15 | Geto Kogen Ski Resort | 65 | 43 | 100 | 73 | 35 | 7 |
| 16 | Hakuba Cortina Snow Resort | 63 | 52 | 92 | 53 | 38 | 9 |
| 17 | Maiko Snow Resort | 61 | 74 | 84 | 10 | 39 | 13.2 |
| 18 | Lotte Arai Resort | 61 | 58 | 89 | 35 | 36 | 8.4 |
| 19 | Sapporo Teine | 61 | 23 | 100 | 89 | 65 | 2.2 |
| 20 | Ishiuchi Maruyama | 60 | 77 | 75 | 10 | 40 | 13.4 |
| 21 | Yuzawa Kogen | 60 | 68 | 75 | 29 | 34 | 11 |
| 22 | Hakuba Goryu & Hakuba47 | 60 | 30 | 100 | 66 | 72 | 4.2 |
| 23 | Kandatsu Snow Resort | 59 | 70 | 76 | 24 | 25 | 11.2 |
| 24 | Madarao Mountain Resort | 59 | 48 | 77 | 62 | 35 | 9 |
| 25 | Tangram Ski Circus | 59 | 43 | 92 | 56 | 36 | 7 |
| 26 | Rusutsu Resort | 57 | 18 | 100 | 88 | 40 | 2 |
| 27 | Furano Ski Resort | 57 | 12 | 100 | 93 | 54 | 1.2 |
| 28 | Shiga Kogen Yokoteyama-Shibutoge | 55 | 25 | 80 | 91 | 25 | 3 |
| 29 | Hakuba Norikura Onsen Snow Resort | 54 | 47 | 83 | 31 | 56 | 7 |
| 30 | Shiga Kogen Yakebitaiyama | 54 | 25 | 79 | 87 | 22 | 3 |
| 31 | Iwappara | 53 | 65 | 66 | 21 | 22 | 11 |
| 32 | Okushiga Kogen | 53 | 24 | 79 | 86 | 21 | 4 |
| 33 | Hoshino Resorts Tomamu | 52 | 11 | 86 | 95 | 44 | 1 |
| 34 | Togakushi | 51 | 35 | 61 | 78 | 27 | 5.2 |
| 35 | Takasu Snow Park | 50 | 29 | 72 | 60 | 66 | 4 |
| 36 | Appi Kogen | 50 | 11 | 92 | 84 | 26 | 0.2 |
| 37 | Hoshino Resorts Nekoma | 49 | 28 | 75 | 62 | 45 | 3 |
| 38 | Asarigawa Onsen Ski Resort | 47 | 23 | 61 | 76 | 63 | 2.2 |
| 39 | Shiga Kogen Ichinose Diamond | 47 | 21 | 63 | 83 | 27 | 3 |
| 40 | Hakuba Iwatake Snow Field | 46 | 27 | 78 | 34 | 81 | 4 |
| 41 | Shiga Kogen Ichinose Family | 46 | 22 | 57 | 87 | 27 | 3.2 |
| 42 | Shiga Kogen Kumanoyu | 46 | 20 | 59 | 87 | 17 | 2.2 |
| 43 | Dynaland | 43 | 23 | 62 | 59 | 52 | 2.2 |
| 44 | Zao Onsen Ski Resort | 42 | 10 | 55 | 91 | 40 | 1 |
| 45 | Kashimayari Snow Resort | 41 | 24 | 58 | 45 | 76 | 2.4 |
| 46 | Tazawako Ski Resort | 41 | 19 | 46 | 81 | 38 | 2 |
| 47 | Palcall Tsumagoi Resort | 28 | 14 | 8 | 81 | 24 | 2 |
| 48 | Hakuba Sanosaka | 26 | 23 | 17 | 32 | 70 | 3 |
| 49 | Canmore Ski Village | 21 | 4 | 0 | 79 | 50 | 0 |
| 50 | Karuizawa Prince Hotel Ski Resort | 14 | 13 | 0 | 26 | 50 | 2 |
How scores are calculated
Powder Days (45%): the average number of powder days per season. A powder day has ≥ 20 cm of new snow, read from either the weather station OR the resort's own day-over-day depth gain, whichever catches it. The count is normalised to a per-window ceiling (20 days in peak season, 30 over the whole season).
Base Reliability (28%): how consistently the resort holds a deep base. For each season, the share of reported days (Dec 15 – Mar 31) with ≥ 150 cm of resort-reported on-mountain depth is scored on a smooth scale, from 0 at ≤ 40% of days deep to full credit at ≥ 55%, and the seasons are then averaged. Adapted from Witmer 1986 / Abegg 1996. It uses the resort's on-mountain depth and does not use the valley station.
Snow Quality (22%): the fraction of snowfall days where ERA5 daily mean temperature is ≤ −5°C at resort elevation, a proxy for dry, high snow-to-liquid-ratio powder (Kuchera & Ely 2004). ERA5 temperature is lapse-rate corrected to each resort's mid-point elevation. Surface temperature is an approximation of the full vertical profile.
Conditions (5%, advisory): the fraction of powder days calmer than the resort's own typical winter wind (below its 75th-percentile ERA5 wind). The anchor is relative because absolute ERA5 grid wind reflects the model's 9 km terrain cell and misses on-slope sheltering. The weight is low, so treat it as a hint.